Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.003174 0.003470 0.003786 0.004148 0.004553 0.004993 0.005508
2025-12-21 0.002622 0.003028 0.003491 0.004061 0.004748 0.005554 0.006579
2025-12-28 0.002312 0.002769 0.003314 0.004018 0.004911 0.006018 0.007515
2026-01-04 0.002120 0.002615 0.003226 0.004046 0.005133 0.006546 0.008558
2026-01-11 0.001938 0.002447 0.003096 0.003994 0.005230 0.006902 0.009392
2026-01-18 0.001795 0.002314 0.002992 0.003959 0.005333 0.007261 0.010255
2026-01-25 0.001668 0.002190 0.002888 0.003909 0.005403 0.007569 0.011065
2026-02-01 0.001579 0.002108 0.002832 0.003917 0.005550 0.007995 0.012094
2026-02-08 0.001483 0.002010 0.002743 0.003868 0.005604 0.008278 0.012920
2026-02-15 0.001391 0.001911 0.002647 0.003797 0.005614 0.008490 0.013643
2026-02-22 0.001334 0.001858 0.002612 0.003817 0.005764 0.008934 0.014814
2026-03-01 0.001301 0.001838 0.002624 0.003907 0.006033 0.009597 0.016453
2026-03-08 0.001229 0.001757 0.002545 0.003852 0.006069 0.009885 0.017475
2026-03-15 0.001156 0.001672 0.002453 0.003772 0.006057 0.010093 0.018382
2026-03-22 0.001099 0.001608 0.002389 0.003733 0.006110 0.010419 0.019569
2026-03-29 0.001061 0.001571 0.002366 0.003758 0.006280 0.010977 0.021316
2026-04-05 0.001011 0.001512 0.002303 0.003711 0.006311 0.011271 0.022538
2026-04-12 0.000968 0.001462 0.002252 0.003679 0.006366 0.011616 0.023922
2026-04-19 0.000925 0.001410 0.002195 0.003633 0.006390 0.011899 0.025206
2026-04-26 0.000895 0.001378 0.002169 0.003641 0.006516 0.012406 0.027112
2026-05-03 0.000858 0.001332 0.002116 0.003596 0.006535 0.012686 0.028495
2026-05-10 0.000820 0.001282 0.002055 0.003531 0.006509 0.012861 0.029639
2026-05-17 0.000798 0.001259 0.002039 0.003549 0.006652 0.013432 0.031940